This indicator acts very much like Oscillation - it is tick based so it doesn't work on history.
This indicator is for EUR/JPY pair only on M1.
Magenta line shows prediction. It +1 if prediction is UP and -1 if prediction is DOWN.
Snow line is a weighted prediction line.
Utsukushii
Monday, October 13, 2008
Utsukushii
Wednesday, May 7, 2008
Quantum News
Quantum Mechanical Con Game: Winning Every Time
ScienceDaily (May 5, 2008) — For the first time, physicists have come up with a scheme that would allow a quantum mechanical expert to win every time in a con game with a victim who only knows about classical physics. Prior quantum cons have typically been vulnerable to simple countermeasures.
A pair of physicists at Tel-Aviv University in Israel came up with the quantum cheat by imagining two people betting on the location of a particle hidden among a set of boxes. In the game, a quantum mechanical con artist named Alice turns away as her classical victim, Bob, is allowed to look inside one of two boxes sitting on a table to see if there is a particle inside. He then closes the box and Alice guesses whether or not Bob found anything in the box he chose. If she guesses correctly, she wins Bob's money, if not, she pays him.
Classically, there is a 50% chance of Alice getting it right. If instead she's adept at quantum mechanics, and has a third box hidden away, she can ensure that she always knows what Bob found in his box. All she has to do is prepare the particle in a state that essentially places it in all three boxes simultaneously, through a phenomenon known as quantum superposition. In effect, there is an equal chance of the particle turning up in any one of the boxes.
After Bob looks in one of the two boxes on the table, Alice measures the state of the particle in her hidden box. If she finds it empty, she knows Bob saw the particle in the box he opened. If she finds that the particle is in a superposition between two boxes, she knows that Bob opened the third box but didn't see anything inside. In either case, she always knows what Bob found, even though she has no way of knowing in advance where the particle will turn up or which box Bob chose to look in.
The authors of the paper admit that the current state of technology isn't good enough for a con artist to make money with quantum mechanics. But they believe that this is the first time anyone has shown that it's theoretically possible for someone like Alice to use quantum mechanics to win every time in a game that classical physics would only give her a fifty-fifty chance of winning. With advances in quantum technology, it may someday turn out that gambling is only risky for those of us who don't understand quantum mechanics.
This research by N. Aharon and L. Vaidman is to be published in a forthcoming edition of Physical Review A
Adapted from materials provided by American Physical Society, via EurekAlert!, a service of AAAS.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/05/080505072755.htm
Physicists have realized a quantum gambling machine using optical elements. From a helium-neon laser, a polarizer generates a single photon in a definite polarization state (horizontal or vertical). Then, Alice uses half wave plate 1 to transfer the definite state into a superposition state to alter the probability of the photon’s destination. The beam is split in the calcite beam splitter into beams A and B. Then Bob splits beam B with half wave plate 3 to influence the photon’s destination, and the second calcite beam splitter superposes beams B’ and A. Finally, three detectors labeled D1, D2, and D3 detect the photon in state B, B’, or A, respectively. Credit: Zhang, et al.
Quantum gambling machines may not be popping up at futuristic casinos any time soon, but the devices could have other uses – such as enabling physicists to study game theory in situations where cheating is impossible.
http://www.physorg.com/news128773803.html
Thursday, April 3, 2008
The Grand Oscillation
Formation Strategy
Sun Tzu said:
Managing the numerous
is similar to managing a few.
It is a matter of communications.
A contest with the numerous
is like a contest with the few.
It is a matter of masterful positioning.
The entire force must be able to act
on the opponent without losses.
It is a matter of surprise.
Oscillation
I have managed to make some progress with JAVA server, yet still some way to go up there. Meanwhile, I have decided to get back to roots and check things that I have found.
Here it is, the amalgamation of it - the Oscillation indicator. It is not perfect yet - it can't get into the past, yet I found it interesting in predicting the future.
More about it after getting in with the facts of the past. I need them right in front of me to NOT loose a direction.
A physical object (a possible referent of a concept or word) is considered concrete (not abstract) if it is a particular individual that occupies a particular place and time.
So, the broker verifies if you are CONCRETE (NOT ABSTRACT). Only then you are allowed to gamble an abstraction.
This implies that an abstraction needs a concrete object. So THE BROKER can be considered physical - if you get a physical letter from the broker. Then you exchange information from this letter via quantum medium - internet - and begin your session.
As many other citation this one is from the much beloved wiki.
Gambling has a specific economic definition, referring to wagering money or something of material value on an event with an uncertain outcome with the primary intent of winning additional money and/or material goods. Typically, the outcome of the wager is evident within a short period of time.
Something that I need. I don't want to wait for years.
Investments are also usually not considered gambling, although some investments can involve significant risk. Examples of investments include stocks, bonds and real estate. Starting a business can also be considered a form of investment. Investments are generally not considered gambling when they meet the following criteria:
* Positive expected returns (at least in the long term)
* Economic utility
* Underlying value independent of the risk being undertaken
Some speculative investment activities are particularly risky, but are still usually considered separately from gambling:
* Securities derivatives, such as options or futures, where the value of the derivative is dependent on the value of the underlying asset at a specific point in time (typically the derivative's associated expiration date)
* Foreign currency exchange (forex) transactions
* Prediction markets
So, since forex transactions are liminal to gambling we can safely use casino at the starting phase.
Next, METATRADER. I got mine from FIBO group. I found that the data it provides to DEMO VIRTUAL money accounts is consistent enough for me to use. You may use any metatrader you like.
What is wrong with metatrader. At first it is a software that you download and install. It may contain trojans. You may have problems installing it on Vista.
Download it and open demo account. You are now able to enjoy all the beautiful graphs of the currency quotes. Do you have the trojan? I don't know. But it is THE SOFTWARE. Read the manuals and find out how to setup downloaded indicators.
Through the promise of gain,
an opponent is moved about,
while the team lies in wait.
I am trading/predicting EUR/JPY pair.
JPY is a carry trade currency.
The term carry trade without further modification refers to currency carry trade: investors borrow low-yielding and lend high-yielding currencies. It tends to correlate with global financial and exchange rate stability, and retracts in use during global liquidity shortages.
The risk of carry trades is that foreign exchange rates will change with the result that the investor will then have to pay back more expensive currency with less valuable currency. In theory, according to uncovered interest rate parity, carry trades should not yield a predictable profit because the difference in interest rates between two countries should equal the rate at which investors expect the low-interest-rate currency to rise against the high-interest-rate one. However, carry trades weaken the target currency, because investors sell what they have borrowed, and convert it into other currencies.
As of early 2007, it is estimated that as much as US$1 trillion may be staked on the yen carry trade. Since the late-1980's, the Bank of Japan has set Japanese interest rates at extremely low levels making it profitable to borrow Japanese yen to fund activities in other currencies. Many of these activities included things like subprime lending in the USA, but also include funding of emerging markets, especially BRIC nations and resource rich nations.
2007-2008, Chinese yuan strengthening allows yen to rise, unwinding the carry trades, tipping off subprime crisis in US. Yen surges from 123 to 96 per dollar, beginnings of a new endaka fukyo.
Endaka (円高, lit. high yen) or Endaka Fukyo (high yen recession) is a state in which the yen is high, or valuable compared to other currencies. Since Japan is highly dependent on exports, this can cause a recession.
Movement
Sun Tzu said:
Good tacticians who are skilled in conflict seek to direct others.
He employs competent men who are like rock in directing, that remain stable when on a flat surface and roll when placed on a slope.
Those skilled in conflict who direct through others,
seems to charge like round boulder
as if falling down a cliff.
Just a note to myself: I should really get deeper into the math.
Oscillation.
The many-worlds interpretation or MWI (also known as relative state formulation, theory of the universal wavefunction, parallel universes, many-universes interpretation or many worlds), is an interpretation of quantum mechanics. Many-worlds denies the objective reality of wavefunction collapse.
I have been watching currency for a long time with an idea to make bets on forex.
Since money is an abstraction, I have to find abstract ways to make money. Because if I make money doing simple work like programming, moving weight, doing some paper work or resolving problems with customs or anything else - I am trading my time for someone doing decoherence of an abstraction and giving it to me in one form or another.
The simplest way to see that the many-worlds metatheory is a local theory is to note that it requires that the wavefunction obey some relativistic wave equation, the exact form of which is currently unknown, but which is presumed to be locally Lorentz invariant at all times and everywhere. This is equivalent to imposing the requirement that locality is enforced at all times and everywhere. Ergo many-worlds is a local theory. Another way of seeing this is examine how macrostates evolve. Macrostates descriptions of objects evolve in a local fashion. Worlds split as the macrostate description divides inside the light cone of the triggering event. Thus the splitting is a local process, transmitted causally at light or sub-light speeds.
—Michael Clive Price
In linear algebra, two vectors in an inner product space are orthonormal if they are orthogonal (their inner product is 0) and both of unit length (the norm of each is 1).
Orthonormality
Why do I stress MWI and all those vectors?
Those who can travel a thousand miles
without problem, travel where others
are not situated.
I am insane. I think that virtual money trades and real money trades are physicaly different.
Yes, I postulate that since money are an abstraction and since they are used to manifest things that they are NOT - they have an ability to decoherence wave function of your reality.
Money have an ability to change the probability of certain things and events happening in your life to some degree.
Since virtual money does not have this probability - the quantum interaction between entities will be different.
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Theorem (1). (in the making requires more work)
Virtual Money are NOT EQUAL to Real Money
therefor interaction with Virtual Money
will NOT produce the SAME results
as with Real Money
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Since MONEY=ABSTRACTION
We now have virtual abstraction and real abstraction.
From C++ manual:
One of the key features of derived classes is that a pointer to a derived class is type-compatible with a pointer to its base class. Polymorphism is the art of taking advantage of this simple but powerful and versatile feature, that brings Object Oriented Methodologies to its full potential.
A member of a class that can be redefined in its derived classes is known as a virtual member. In order to declare a member of a class as virtual, we must precede its declaration with the keyword virtual.
So, I can think that virtual money is an object derived from real money with some of its functions that were declared as virtual being redefined.
The term virtual is a concept applied in many fields with somewhat differing connotations, and also, differing denotations.
Colloquially, 'virtual' has a similar meaning to ' quasi-' or 'pseudo-' (prefixes which themselves have quite different meanings), meaning something that is almost something else, particularly when used in the adverbial form e.g., "He's virtually [almost] my boyfriend". The term recently has been defined philosophically as, that which is not real, but may display the full qualities of the real.
So, since we are playing with virtual money they MAY display the full qualities of the real (under some circumstances).
Numerous philosophers have advanced conceptions of the virtual. Most prominent of these in contemporary philosophy has been Gilles Deleuze, who uses the term virtual to refer to something that every object carries with it, which is neither its reality, nor merely what it could have been, but rather what it is imagined to be. "Virtual" is therefore taken to mean a potential state that could become actual. "Virtual" is not opposed to "real" but opposed to "actual," whereas "real" is opposed to "possible." This definition, which is almost indistinguishable from potential, originates in medieval Scholastics and the pseudo-Latin "virtualis".
Recently this conception of the virtual has been challenged and another core meaning has been elicited by (Denis Berthier, "Meditations on the real and the virtual" — in French), based on uses in science (virtual image), technology (virtual world), and etymology (derivation from virtue — Latin virtus). At the same ontological level as "possible," "real," or "potential," "virtual" is defined as that which is not real, but displays the full qualities of the real — in a plainly actual (i.e., not potential) — way. The prototypical case is a reflection in a mirror: it is already there, whether or not one can see it; it is not waiting for any kind of actualization. This definition allows one to understand that real effects may be issued from a virtual object, so that our perception of it and our whole relation to it, are fully real, even if it is not.
Objects in Mirror Are Closer Than They Appear.
This is a good statement among others. I think that it might help us to better understand the mechanics.
Reducing the enemy's numbers
Sun Tzu said:
The location to initiate a challenge must not be made known therefore our enemy must prepare in many places and will have few troops at the location where we can initiate a challenge.
Even when opponents are numerous they can be subdued. Through their maneuvering, learn their calculations for gains and losses.
Through their action, learn their policies for movement or silence.
Through positioning, learn their area of desperation and security.
Through contact, learn where they possess surplus or inadequacies.
Through measuring the strategy of others
it is said that victories can be managed.
Strategic Positioning
Sun Tzu said:
The ultimate positioning strategy is to be without an apparent position. Without position, the best intelligence is unable to spy and those who are clever unable to plan.
Positioning should be a reaction to infinite variations and work out according to the changing conditions.
Just as water has no fixed form, strategic positioning evades reality and confront through illusion. Therefore, strategy follows the opponents and systematically be victorious.
As water has no absolute position. The strategy has no absolute direction. A genius tactician is someone who can win according to the changing conditions of the opponents.
A good strategy is as versatile as the five elements; metal, wood, water, fire and earth. Wherein non of them is absolutely dominant.
There are no hard and fast rules on good strategy.
It has to be as versatile as water, which changes
course according to the ground.
There is no formula for good positioning.
Always avoid the powerful and attack the weak.
Be ever ready to change strategy according
to the changing conditions of the opponent.
*************************************
The Real is a term used by the psychoanalyst Jacques Lacan in his theory of psychic structures. There is also the Symbolic order and the Imaginary order. This order is not only opposed to the imaginary but is also located beyond the symbolic. Unlike the symbolic, which is constituted in terms of oppositions such as "presence" and "absence", there is no absence in the real. The symbolic opposition between "presence" and "absence" implies the possibility that something may be missing from the symbolic, the real is "always in its place: it carries it glued to its heel, ignorant of what might exile it from there." If the symbolic is a set of differentiated signifiers, the real is in itself undifferentiated: "it is without fissure". The symbolic introduces "a cut in the real," in the process of signification: "it is the world of words that creates the world of things." Thus the real emerges as that which is outside language: "it is that which resists symbolization absolutely." The real is impossible because it is impossible to imagine, impossible to integrate into the symbolic order. This character of impossibility and resistance to symbolization lends the real its traumatic quality.
~~~
Although the Symbolic order is an essentially linguistic dimension, Lacan does not simply equate the symbolic with language, since the latter is involved also in the Imaginary and the Real. The symbolic dimension of language is that of the signifier, in which elements have no positive existence but are constituted by virtue of their mutual differences. It is the realm of radical alterity: the Other. The unconscious is the discourse of the Other and thus belongs to the symbolic order. Its is also the realm of the Law that regulates desire in the Oedipus complex. The symbolic is both the "pleasure principle" that regulates the distance from das Ding, and the "death drive" which goes beyond the pleasure principle by means of repetition: "the death drive is only the mask of the symbolic order." This register is determinant of subjectivity; for Lacan the symbolic is characterized by the absence of any fixed relations between signifier and signified.
~~~
The basis of the Imaginary order is the formation of the ego in the "mirror stage". Since the ego is formed by identifying with the counterpart or specular image, "identification" is an important aspect of the imaginary. The relationship whereby the ego is constituted by identification is a locus of "alienation", which is another feature of the imaginary, and is fundamentally narcissistic. The imaginary, a realm of surface appearances which are deceptive, is structured by the symbolic order. It also involves a linguistic dimension: whereas the signifier is the foundation of the symbolic, the "signified" and "signification" belong to the imaginary. Thus language has both symbolic and imaginary aspects. Based on the specular image, the imaginary is rooted in the subject's relationship to the body (the image of the body).
~~~
Sun Tzu said:
With advance information, costly mistake can
be avoided, destruction averted, and the way
to lasting victory made clear.
Subtly, very subtly, do not
neglect the use of intelligence.
A commander who does not want to buy information is not a good leader, hence, can never win in battles.
Foreknowledge enables a wise ruler and good commander to be victorious, and produce useful achievements for the people.
Foreknowledge cannot be obtained through spirits, supernatural, nor superstitious means. It cannot be projected through effort, nor verified through measurements.
They can only be obtained
from those who have a through
knowledge of the enemy's conditions.
Intelligence is the most important work, because
the entire force relies on it for every move.
It is the essence of strategy.
Saturday, March 29, 2008
Nothing vs Allthing
Abstraction is the process or result of generalization by reducing the information content of a concept or an observable phenomenon, typically in order to retain only information which is relevant for a particular purpose. For example, abstracting a leather soccer ball to a ball retains only the information on general ball attributes and behaviour. Similarly, abstracting an emotional state to happiness reduces the amount of information conveyed about the emotional state. Computer scientists use abstraction to understand and solve problems and communicate their solutions with the computer in some particular computer language.
A physical object (a possible referent of a concept or word) is considered concrete (not abstract) if it is a particular individual that occupies a particular place and time.
Abstract things are sometimes defined as those things that do not exist in reality or exist only as sensory experience, like the color red. That definition, however, suffers from the difficulty of deciding which things are real (i.e. which things exist in reality). For example, it is difficult to agree to whether concepts like God, the number three, and goodness are real, abstract, or both.
An approach to resolving such difficulty is to use predicates as a general term for whether things are variously real, abstract, concrete, or of a particular property (e.g. good). Questions about the properties of things are then propositions about predicates, which propositions remain to be evaluated by the investigator. In the graph 1 above, the graphical relationships like the arrows joining boxes and ellipses might denote predicates. Different levels of abstraction might be denoted by a progression of arrows joining boxes or ellipses in multiple rows, where the arrows point from one row to another, in a series of other graphs, say graph 2, etc.
An abstraction can be seen as a process of mapping multiple different pieces of constituent data to a single piece of abstract data based on similarities in the constituent data, for example many different physical cats map to the abstraction "CAT".
Abstraction in mathematics is the process of extracting the underlying essence of a mathematical concept, removing any dependence on real world objects with which it might originally have been connected, and generalising it so that it has wider applications.
Statistics has its origins in the calculation of probabilities in gambling.
Abstraction is an ongoing process in mathematics and the historical development of many mathematical topics exhibits a progression from the concrete to the abstract.
Finally Felix Klein's "Erlangen program" identified the underlying theme of all of these geometries, defining each of them as the study of properties invariant under a given group of symmetries. This level of abstraction revealed deep connections between geometry and abstract algebra.
Two of the most highly abstract areas of modern mathematics are category theory and model theory.
The advantages of abstraction are :
It reveals deep connections between different areas of mathematics
Known results in one area can suggest conjectures in a related area
Techniques and methods from one area can be applied to prove results in a related area
In group theory, a cyclic group or monogenous group is a group that can be generated by a single element, in the sense that the group has an element g (called a "generator" of the group) such that, when written multiplicatively, every element of the group is a power of g (a multiple of g when the notation is additive).
Modular arithmetic (sometimes called modulo arithmetic, or clock arithmetic) is a system of arithmetic for integers, where numbers "wrap around" after they reach a certain value — the modulus. Modular arithmetic was introduced by Carl Friedrich Gauss in his book Disquisitiones Arithmeticae, published in 1801.
Chinese remainder theorem refers to a result about congruences in number theory and its generalizations in abstract algebra.
The original form of the theorem, contained in a third-century AD book Sun Zi suanjing(The Mathematical Classic by Sun Zi) by Chinese mathematician Sun Tzu and later republished in a 1247 book by Qin Jiushao, Shu shu jiu zhang(Mathematical Treatise in Nine Sections) is a statement about simultaneous congruences (see modular arithmetic).
The first steps in the abstraction of geometry were made by the ancient Greeks, with Euclid being the first person (as far as we know) to document the axioms of plane geometry.
In thermodynamics (a branch of physics), entropy is a measure of the unavailability of a system’s energy to do work.
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Forex is a fraud
SO you are an experienced trader or you are just going to start the winning cycle.
There is one thing that you should know from the start.
FOREX IS A FRAUD.
Yes, only brokers win. Entities who created the money system in the first place created Forex.
In many aspects forex is like the ordinary life - the strong eats the weak. You think that cannibalism is an act of the past? Think again. We are in the middle of it.
Modern money (and most ancient money too) is essentially a token — in other words, an abstraction.
So, forex is a tool for trading an abstraction.
Who controls the money?
Let's look into the past.
The great variety of coinages originally in use in the Hellenic world meant that money changing was the earliest and most common form of Greek banking. Usually the money changers would carry out their business in or around temples and other public buildings, setting up their trapezium-shaped tables (which usually carried a series of lines and squares for assisting calculations), from which the Greek bankers, the trapezitai derived their name, much as our name for bank comes from the Italian banca for bench or counter. The close association between banking, money changing and temples is best known to us from the episode of Christ's overturning the tables in the Temple of Jerusalem (Matthew 21.12).
http://www.projects.ex.ac.uk/RDavies/arian/origins.html#exchange
Who is the diety of the money?
In Rome it was Juno.
One of the words for money in the Hebrew language is mammon.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mammon
LIMINALITY.
Liminal phenomena are typically transient, ephemeral, and have an affinity for chaos, transition, and instability. They are also usually viewed as slightly disreputable. Ghosts themselves are transient; their manifestations are unpredictable. They are neither solid nor stable. The question of their reality is perennially in dispute.
http://www.tricksterbook.com/ArticlesOnline/GhostsAndLiminality.html
Can you see some similarities? I definitely can.
So, what is Forex?
It is an illussion - a staged magic - made to distract your attention. You use a BROKER, you use a SOFTWARE. Your attention is focused on many things they setup to give you an impression of understanding. Various sources tell that markets are chaotic in nature. You are reading news, looking at technical indicators - all this is given to you to give you an impression of understanding things.
But where does the quotes come from?
Banks? Brokers?
Where does the news come from?
Governments?
What are you looking to on the screen?
THE SOFTWARE?
Does not look like chaos to me.
A thought crossed my mind - that brokers can form the CARTEL. The target of the CARTEL is to get your money. Not like they really need it - because possibly they have set up the money system in the first place. Their target is you and your personal wealth.
What is the CARTEL? - I don't really know at the moment.
Can it exist? Definitely. And I base my assumption on logic and facts - secret societies existed for a very long time and money served ritual and controlling purpose.
Forex uses one of the most powerful lusts of all - the lust for money. In modern world in many cases it outweights sex, food, drugs and even instinct for survival.
There is a bold difference between virtual trading and real trading.
Many people found that with real money accounts market seems to behave differently.
I have an idea that BROKER might exploit the quantum nature of worlds. Its technology is by definition far more advanced then yours. So, it might use a many-worlds scenario to put you into controllable bubble.
The many-worlds interpretation or MWI (also known as relative state formulation, theory of the universal wavefunction, parallel universes, many-universes interpretation or many worlds), is an interpretation of quantum mechanics. Many-worlds denies the objective reality of wavefunction collapse. Many-worlds then explains the subjective appearance of wavefunction collapse with the mechanism of quantum decoherence. Consequently, many-worlds claims this resolves all the "paradoxes" of quantum theory since every possible outcome to every event defines or exists in its own "history" or "world". In layman's terms, this means that there are an infinite number of universes and that everything that could possibly happen in our universe (but doesn't) does happen in another.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Many-worlds_interpretation
Some of the points stressed by Glyn Davies in his book are:
* Money did not have a single origin but developed independently in many different parts of the world.
* Many factors contributed to its development and if evidence of what anthropologists have learned about primitive money is anything to go by economic factors were not the most important.
* Money performs a variety of functions and the functions performed by the earliest types were probably fairly restricted initially and would NOT necessarily have been the same in all societies.
* Money is fungible: there is a tendency for older forms to take on new roles and for new forms to be developed which take on old roles, e.g. on English banknotes such as the 5 pound notes it says "I promise to pay the bearer on demand the sum of five pounds" and below that it carries the signature of the chief cashier of the Bank of England. This is a reminder that originally banknotes were regarded in Britain, and in many other countries, as a substitute for money and only later did they come to be accepted as the real thing.
"...magicians, if they are strictly ethical, are morally under obligation to insist that their methods are purely natural" (Fitzkee, 1944).
Magick.
Definition from the Wikipedia:
Magick, in the broadest sense, is any act designed to cause intentional change. To change nothing into something and something into something else.